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Economic Modelling
Article
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Economic Modelling
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Energy Price Transmissions during Extreme Movements

Authors: Marc Joëts;

Energy Price Transmissions during Extreme Movements

Abstract

This paper investigates price transmissions across European energy forward markets at distinct maturities during both normal times and extreme ‡uctuation periods. To this end, we rely on the traditional Granger causality test (in mean) and its multivariate extension in tail distribution developped by Candelon, Joets, and Tokpavi (2012). Considering forward energy prices at 1, 10, 20, and 30 months, it turns out that no signi…cant causality exists between markets at regular times whereas comovements are at play during extreme periods especially in bear markets. More precisely, energy prices comovements appear to be stronger at short horizons than at long horizons, testifying an eventual Samuelson mechanism in the maturity prices curve. Diversi…cation strategies tend to be more e¢ cient as maturity increases.

Keywords

Value-at-Risk (VaR); CAViaR approach; risk spillover; Granger causality., Forward energy prices; Value-at-Risk (VaR); CAViaR approach; risk spillover; Granger causality, jel: jel:Q40, jel: jel:C32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
14
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
bronze