Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

The Influence of the Year of the Dragon on Fertility of Chinese Malaysians: Cointegration and Variance Decomposition Analysis

Authors: Thirunaukarasu Subramaniam; Evelyn Shyamala Devadason; Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah;

The Influence of the Year of the Dragon on Fertility of Chinese Malaysians: Cointegration and Variance Decomposition Analysis

Abstract

Despite the downward trend in fertility amongst the Chinese Malaysians, temporary fertility increases are noted in the Dragon years of 1976, 1988 and 2000. The paper therefore examines whether fertility is significantly influenced by zodiacal preferences, mainly the Year of the Dragon, for the Chinese Malaysians, a non-majority group within a mulicultural society. The methodology employed is based on a cointegration and error-correction framework, followed by a variance decomposition technique to capture both within-sample and out-of sample relationships between fertility and zodiacal preferences. Using a fully-fledged model of the determinants of fertility for the period 1974-2009, it is found that the Year of the Dragon significantly increases the Chinese fertility rate in the long-run. The portion of the variance in the fertility rate explained by a shock in the Year of the Dragon is likewise found to be substantial relative to the explained variation in the former following shocks in the other explanatory variables. Broadly speaking, there is some empirical regularity in the Dragon Year phenomenon based on the Malaysian case and studies of different Chinese populations. Zodiacal fertility behaviour appears a distinctive ethnic marker in that; it is no longer limited only to that of ethnic Chinese dominated societies.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!