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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2012
Data sources: EconStor
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The Causal Effects of an Industrial Policy

Authors: Criscuolo, Chiara; Martin, Ralf; Overman, Henry G; Van Reenen, John;

The Causal Effects of an Industrial Policy

Abstract

Business support policies designed to raise productivity and employment are common worldwide, but rigorous micro-econometric evaluation of their causal effects is rare. We exploit multiple changes in the area-specific eligibility criteria for a major program to support manufacturing jobs ("Regional Selective Assistance"). Area eligibility is governed by pan-European state aid rules which change every seven years and we use these rule changes to construct instrumental variables for program participation. We match two decades of UK panel data on the population of firms to all program participants. IV estimates find positive program treatment effect on employment, investment and net entry but not on TFP. OLS underestimates program effects because the policy targets underperforming plants and areas. The treatment effect is confined to smaller firms with no effect for larger firms (e.g. over 150 employees). We also find the policy raises area level manufacturing employment mainly through significantly reducing unemployment. The positive program effect is not due to substitution between plants in the same area or between eligible and ineligible areas nearby. We estimate that "cost per job" of the program was only $6,300 suggesting that in some respects investment subsidies can be cost effective.

Keywords

industrial policy; regional policy; employment; investment; productivity, industrial policy, regional policy, employment, investment, productivity, Industriepolitik, productivity, Beschäftigungseffekt, H25, EU-Regionalpolitik, Großbritannien, Wirkungsanalyse, O47, industrial policy, ddc:330, L52, L53, Investition, investment, Wirtschaftsförderung, employment, employment; industrial policy; investment; productivity; regional policy, regional policy, jel: jel:H25, jel: jel:O47, jel: jel:L52, jel: jel:L53

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
89
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze