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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
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Evolutionary Computational Approach in TAR Model Estimation

Authors: Claudio Pizzi; Francesca Parpinel;

Evolutionary Computational Approach in TAR Model Estimation

Abstract

The well-known SETAR model introduced by Tong belongs to the wide class of TAR models that may be specified in several different ways. Here we propose to consider the delay parameter as endogenous, that is we make it to depend on both the past value and the specific past regime of the series. In particular, we consider a system switching between two regimes, each of them is a linear autoregressive of order p, with respect to the value assumed by a delayed self-variable compared with an asymmetric threshold; the peculiarity is that the switching rule also depends on the regime in which the system lies at time t-d.In this work we consider two identification procedures: the first one follows the classical estimation for SETAR models, the second one proposes to estimate this model using the Particle Swarm Optimization technique.

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Keywords

Parameter Estimation, Threshold Autoregressive Models, Particle Swarm Optimization., jel: jel:C63, jel: jel:C51, jel: jel:C13, jel: jel:C32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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Average
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