Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in a Term-Structure Model with Unspanned Macro Risks

Authors: Marcelo Ferman;

The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in a Term-Structure Model with Unspanned Macro Risks

Abstract

In this paper I analyze how exogenous monetary policy impulses transmit jointly to the U.S. macroeconomy and the term structure of U.S. interest rates. I estimate a Macro-A¢ ne Term Structure Model, which is similar to Joslin, Priebsch, and Singleton (2010), and use it to identify monetary policy shocks and term premia. My main …nding is that monetary policy shocks trigger relevant movements in long-term bond premia, which in turn feed back into the macroeconomy. This gives rise to a "term-premium channel of monetary transmission". I show that it is particularly important in the pre-Volcker period; in the post-Volcker period, this channel turns out to be empirically irrelevant. I then estimate how shocks to future monetary policy expectations are transmitted to the economy. I …nd that, in the post-Volcker period, shocks to policy expectations produce more pronounced and more intuitive responses for macroeconomic variables than do standard shocks to the contemporaneous value of the monetary policy instrument. This suggestes that communication between the Fed and private agents is a powerful instrument of monetary policy.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!