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Economic Modelling
Article
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Economic Modelling
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
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Gurus and Beliefs Manipulation

Authors: Jouini, Elyes; Napp, Clotilde;

Gurus and Beliefs Manipulation

Abstract

We analyze a model with two types of agents: standard agents and gurus, i.e. agents who have the ability to influence the other investors. Gurus announce their beliefs and act accordingly. Gurus are strategic: they take into account the impact of their announced beliefs on the other agents, hence on prices. Standard agents observe gurus' performances, choose a guru and follow his recommendations. Prices are determined through a classical Walras mechanism. The competition among gurus for attracting followers among standard agents is described by a simple dynamics and we focus on its steady states. At the equilibrium, this leads to beliefs heterogeneity, to a positive correlation between optimism and risk aversion and to higher risk premia. The impact is stronger on the riskier assets.

Country
France
Keywords

Optimism, D.D8.D81, D.D8.D82, 330, Equilibrium, Heterogeneous beliefs, Standard agents, G.G1.G12, Economie financière, D.D8.D83, 332, standard agents,gurus,Walras mechanism,riskier assets, Pessimism, Equity premium puzzle, Walras mechanism, D.D5.D53, Gurus, Z.Z1.Z12, Belief manipulation, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, Riskier assets

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
bronze