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IMF Working Papers
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
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IMF Working Papers
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
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EconStor
Research . 2011
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Food Prices and Political Instability

Authors: Rabah Arezki; Markus Bruckner;

Food Prices and Political Instability

Abstract

We examine the effects that variations in the international food prices have on democracy and intra-state conflict using panel data for over 120 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that in Low Income Countries increases in the international food prices lead to a significant deterioration of democratic institutions and a significant increase in the incidence of anti-government demonstrations, riots, and civil conflict. In the High Income Countries variations in the international food prices have no significant effects on democratic institutions and measures of intra-state conflict. Our empirical results point to a significant externality of variations in international food prices on Low Income Countries' social and political stability.

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Keywords

O00, P00, ddc:330, conflict, political institutions, Industriestaaten, Q00, food prices, Politische Stabilität, General, General, [Food prices;Conflict, Political Institutions, food price, food production, food insecurity, food consumption, Economic Systems], food prices, conflict, political institutions, Nahrungsmittelpreis, Sozialer Konflikt, Niedriglohnländer, Demokratie, jel: jel:Q00, jel: jel:P00, jel: jel:O00

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    83
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
83
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
gold