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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 1999 . Peer-reviewed
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A Nonparametric Analysis of the Forward Rate Volatilities

Authors: Neil D. Pearson; Mark R. Manfredo; Anjun Zhou;

A Nonparametric Analysis of the Forward Rate Volatilities

Abstract

Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (1992) present a general framework for modeling the term structure of interest rates which nests most other models as special cases. In their framework, the dynamics of the term structure and the prices of derivative instruments depend only upon the initial term structure and the forward rate volatility functions. Despite their importance, there has been little empirical work studying the forward rate volatility functions. This paper begins to fill this gap by estimating some nonparametric models of the forward rate volatilities. In a univariate model, the form of the forward rate volatility function differs for different maturities, and for some maturities appears not to be a monotonic function of the level of the forward rate. In a bivariate model, a measure of the "slope" of the term structure seems to have an important impact on the volatility. These results differ from the simple models that have been proposed and used in the literature.

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    popularity
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    influence
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
bronze