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DI-fusion
Research . 2011
Data sources: DI-fusion
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Research . 2011
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
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Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach

Authors: Halbleib, Roxana; Voev, Valerie;

Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach

Abstract

This paper proposes a new method for forecasting covariance matrices of financial returns. the model mixes volatility forecasts from a dynamic model of daily realized volatilities estimated with high-frequency data with correlation forecasts based on daily data. This new approach allows for flexible dependence patterns for volatilities and correlations, and can be applied to covariance matrices of large dimensions. The seperate modeling of volatility and correlation forecasts considerably reduces the estimation and measurement error implied by the joint estimation and modeling of covariance matrix dynamics. Our empirical results show that the new mixing approach provides superior forecasts compared to multivariate volatility specifications using single sources of information.

Countries
Denmark, Belgium, Germany
Keywords

info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/330, High-frequency data, Volatility forecasting, High-frequency data, Realized variance, Realized variance, info:eu-repo/classification/jel/C32, C53, info:eu-repo/classification/jel/C53, Volatility forecasting, info:eu-repo/classification/jel/C32, Multivariate volatility, Volatility forecasting, High-frequency data, Realized variance, Realized covariance, Economie, Multivariate volatility, Realized covariance, jel: jel:C53, jel: jel:C32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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bronze
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