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Testing and Inference in Nonlinear Cointegrating Vector Error Correction Models

Testing and inference in nonlinear cointegrating vector error correction models
Authors: Kristensen, Dennis; Rahbek, Anders;

Testing and Inference in Nonlinear Cointegrating Vector Error Correction Models

Abstract

We analyze estimators and tests for a general class of vector error correction models that allows for asymmetric and nonlinear error correction. For a given number of cointegration relationships, general hypothesis testing is considered, where testing for linearity is of particular interest. Under the null of linearity, parameters of nonlinear components vanish, leading to a nonstandard testing problem. We apply so-called sup-tests to resolve this issue, which requires development of new(uniform) functional central limit theory and results for convergence of stochastic integrals. We provide a full asymptotic theory for estimators and test statistics. The derived asymptotic results prove to be nonstandard compared to results found elsewhere in the literature due to the impact of the estimated cointegration relations. This complicates implementation of tests motivating the introduction of bootstrap versions that are simple to compute. A simulation study shows that the finite-sample properties of the bootstrapped tests are satisfactory with good size and power properties for reasonable sample sizes.

Countries
Denmark, United Kingdom
Keywords

Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Non-Markovian processes: hypothesis testing, Functional limit theorems; invariance principles, Nonlinear error correction, cointegration, testing nonlinearity, nonlinear time series, sup tests, vanishing parameters, testing, jel: jel:C30, jel: jel:C32

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
17
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze