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The Asymmetric Volatility of Pound Sterling Cross-Rate Futures

Authors: Richard Paul Gregory;

The Asymmetric Volatility of Pound Sterling Cross-Rate Futures

Abstract

I test for the presence of asymmetric volatility in British Pound cross-rate futures markets. My investigation is based on a variant of the heterogeneous autoregressive volatility model, using daily realized variance and return series from 2004 through 2009. I find that appreciation against the British Pound leads to significantly less volatility for the CHF/GBP and EUR/GBP contracts and significantly greater volatility for the GBP/JPY contract. Relative to volatility on days following a positive one-standard-deviation, volatility on days following a negative one-standard-deviation return is 18.66% less for the CHF/GBP future, 12.51% lower for the EUR/GBP future and negligible for the GBP/JPY future. The results are robust to the removal of the jump component from realized volatility.

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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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