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Expected Net Present Value, Expected Net Future Value, and the Ramsey Rule

Authors: Gollier, Christian;

Expected Net Present Value, Expected Net Future Value, and the Ramsey Rule

Abstract

Weitzman (1998) showed that when future interest rates are uncertain, using the expected net present value implies a term structure of discount rates that is decreasing to the smallest possible interest rate. On the contrary, using the expected net future value criteria implies an increasing term structure of discount rates up to the largest possible interest rate. We reconcile the two approaches by introducing risk aversion and utility maximization. We show that if the aggregate consumption path is optimized and made flexible to news about future interest rates, the two criteria are equivalent. Moreover, they are also equivalent to the Ramsey rule extended to uncertainty.

Country
France
Keywords

RAMSEY RULE, Abzinsung, Zinsstruktur, 330, CLIMATE CHANGE, COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS, asset price, [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences, Optimale Besteuerung, Dynamische Investitionsrechnung, B- ECONOMIE ET FINANCE, ddc:330, cost-benefit analysis, discount rate, asset price, Ramsey rule, cost-benefit analysis, discount rate, DISCOUNT RATE, Discount rate, climate change, D61, Ramsey rule, Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse, [SHS] Humanities and Social Sciences, Theorie, jel: jel:D61

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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