
We propose a novel generalized recursive smooth ambiguity model which allows a three-way separation among risk aversion, ambiguity aversion, and intertemporal substitution. We apply this utility to a consumption-based asset pricing model in which consumption and dividends follow hidden Markov regime-switching processes. Our calibrated model can match the mean equity premium, the mean riskfree rate, and the volatility of the equity premium observed in the data. In addition, our model can generate a variety of dynamic asset pricing phenomena, including the procyclical variation of price-dividend ratios, the countercyclical variation of equity premia and equity volatility, and the mean reversion of excess returns. The key intuition is that an ambiguity averse agent behaves pessimistically by attaching more weight to the pricing kernel in bad times when his continuation values are low.
D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty, G12 - Asset Pricing, Bond Interest Rates, Ambiguity aversion, Asset-pricing puzzles, 332, Trading Volume, Pessimism, Regime switching, Ambiguity aversion, learning, asset pricing puzzles, model uncertainty, robustness, pessimism, regime switching, Ambiguity aversion; learning; asset pricing puzzles; model uncertainty; robustness; pessimism, Model uncertainty, Learning, Robustness, jel: jel:D81, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:G12
D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty, G12 - Asset Pricing, Bond Interest Rates, Ambiguity aversion, Asset-pricing puzzles, 332, Trading Volume, Pessimism, Regime switching, Ambiguity aversion, learning, asset pricing puzzles, model uncertainty, robustness, pessimism, regime switching, Ambiguity aversion; learning; asset pricing puzzles; model uncertainty; robustness; pessimism, Model uncertainty, Learning, Robustness, jel: jel:D81, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:G12
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