
doi: 10.1920/wp.cem.2018.5918 , 10.3982/qe1930 , 10.1920/wp.cem.2020.3720 , 10.48550/arxiv.1807.02161
arXiv: 1807.02161
handle: 10419/189803 , 10419/241912 , 10419/296291
doi: 10.1920/wp.cem.2018.5918 , 10.3982/qe1930 , 10.1920/wp.cem.2020.3720 , 10.48550/arxiv.1807.02161
arXiv: 1807.02161
handle: 10419/189803 , 10419/241912 , 10419/296291
We propose a framework for estimation and inference when the model may be misspecified. We rely on a local asymptotic approach where the degree of misspecification is indexed by the sample size. We construct estimators whose mean squared error is minimax in a neighborhood of the reference model, based on one‐step adjustments. In addition, we provide confidence intervals that contain the true parameter under local misspecification. As a tool to interpret the degree of misspecification, we map it to the local power of a specification test of the reference model. Our approach allows for systematic sensitivity analysis when the parameter of interest may be partially or irregularly identified. As illustrations, we study three applications: an empirical analysis of the impact of conditional cash transfers in Mexico where misspecification stems from the presence of stigma effects of the program, a cross‐sectional binary choice model where the error distribution is misspecified, and a dynamic panel data binary choice model where the number of time periods is small and the distribution of individual effects is misspecified.
FOS: Computer and information sciences, latent variables, ddc:330, Game theory, economics, finance, and other social and behavioral sciences, Econometrics (econ.EM), structural models, robustness, counterfactuals, panel data, Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, Model misspecification, sensitivity analysis, C13, model misspecification, Statistics - Methodology, C23, Economics - Econometrics
FOS: Computer and information sciences, latent variables, ddc:330, Game theory, economics, finance, and other social and behavioral sciences, Econometrics (econ.EM), structural models, robustness, counterfactuals, panel data, Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, Model misspecification, sensitivity analysis, C13, model misspecification, Statistics - Methodology, C23, Economics - Econometrics
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