
arXiv: 1412.4428
handle: 10419/130039
Stochastic discount factor (SDF) processes in dynamic economies admit a permanent-transitory decomposition in which the permanent component characterizes pricing over long investment horizons. This paper introduces an empirical framework to analyze the permanent-transitory decomposition of SDF processes. Specifically, we show how to estimate nonparametrically the solution to the Perron-Frobenius eigenfunction problem of Hansen and Scheinkman (2009). Our empirical framework allows researchers to (i) recover the time series of the estimated permanent and transitory components and (ii) estimate the yield and the change of measure which characterize pricing over long investment horizons. We also introduce nonparametric estimators of the continuation value function in a class of models with recursive preferences by reinterpreting the value function recursion as a nonlinear Perron-Frobenius problem. We establish consistency and convergence rates of the eigenfunction estimators and asymptotic normality of the eigenvalue estimator and estimators of related functionals. As an application, we study an economy where the representative agent is endowed with recursive preferences, allowing for general (nonlinear) consumption and earnings growth dynamics.
FOS: Computer and information sciences, Permanenttransitory decomposition, General Economics (econ.GN), Entropy, permanent-transitory decomposition, Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, C13, C14, C58, Applications of statistics to economics, Long run, Statistics - Methodology, sieve estimation, Economics - General Economics, ddc:330, nonparametric estimation, Stochastic discount factor, Mathematical Finance (q-fin.MF), nonparametric value function estimation, Density estimation, Nonparametric estimation; Sieve estimation; Stochastic discount factor; Permanent-transitory decomposition; Long run; Entropy, Quantitative Finance - Mathematical Finance, stochastic discount factor, Sieve estimation, Nonparametric estimation, jel: jel:C13, jel: jel:C14, jel: jel:C58
FOS: Computer and information sciences, Permanenttransitory decomposition, General Economics (econ.GN), Entropy, permanent-transitory decomposition, Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Economics and business, C13, C14, C58, Applications of statistics to economics, Long run, Statistics - Methodology, sieve estimation, Economics - General Economics, ddc:330, nonparametric estimation, Stochastic discount factor, Mathematical Finance (q-fin.MF), nonparametric value function estimation, Density estimation, Nonparametric estimation; Sieve estimation; Stochastic discount factor; Permanent-transitory decomposition; Long run; Entropy, Quantitative Finance - Mathematical Finance, stochastic discount factor, Sieve estimation, Nonparametric estimation, jel: jel:C13, jel: jel:C14, jel: jel:C58
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