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Povezanost površinske temperature mora i površinske temperature zraka: slučaj otoka Hvara (Jadransko more, Hrvatska)

slučaj otoka Hvara (Jadransko more, Hrvatska)
Authors: Ognjen Bonacci; Tanja Roje-Bonacci; Duje Bonacci;

Povezanost površinske temperature mora i površinske temperature zraka: slučaj otoka Hvara (Jadransko more, Hrvatska)

Abstract

Povezanost površinske temperature mora (PTM) i površinske temperature zraka (PTZ) izmjerene na malome otoku Hvaru (Jadransko more) ispituju se na godišnjim i mjesečnim vremenskim ljestvicama, koristeći se podacima za razdoblje od pedeset pet godina (1964. – 2018.). Analizirana su sljedeća tri indeksa PTM-a i PTZ-a: (1) apsolutni minimum, (2) srednja vrijednost, (3) apsolutni maksimum. Rezultati su istaknuli statistički značajan trend porasta za sva tri godišnja indeksa PTM-a. U slučaju PTZ-a trend niza apsolutnih minimalnih godišnjih vrijednosti nije statistički značajan. Za nizove srednjih i apsolutno maksimalnih godišnjih vrijednosti PTZ-a trend je statistički značajan na razini p < 0,01. Mjesečne analize indeksa PTM-a gotovo u svim mjesecima (osim u listopadu) imaju statistički značajne trendove povećanja. U slučaju PTZ-a, statistički značajan trend porasta svih analiziranih indeksa dogodio se preko ljeta (srpanj i kolovoz). Rezultati pokazuju da je analizirana regija, posebice mali jadranski otoci, ugrožena klimatskim promjenama, tj. globalnim zatopljenjem tijekom ljeta. Primjenom RAPS metode na minimalnom godišnjem PTM-u zabilježen je statistički značajni pomak 1988. godine. Deset godina poslije, 1998. godine, otkriven je statistički značajan pomak prema gore na srednjem i maksimalnom indeksu PTM-a i PTZ-a. U slučaju minimalnih godišnjih vrijednosti PTZ-a otkriven je statistički značajan pomak prema dolje, počevši od 1979. godine. U analiziranom slučaju otoka Hvara, zagrijavanje indeksa PTM-a veće je od zagrijavanje indeksa PTZ-a i događa se tijekom cijele godine (osim u listopadu).

Country
Croatia
Related Organizations
Keywords

Mann-Kendall test, Island of Hvar (Croatia), otok Hvar, Mann-Kendallov test, površinska temperatura zraka (PTZ), t-test, surface air temperature (SAT), surface sea temperature (SST), površinska temperatura mora (PTM)

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
Published in a Diamond OA journal