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Threshold dynamics in mathematical models for mosquito- and rodent-borne diseases with seasonality

Authors: Mahmoud Abdalla Ali Ibrahim;

Threshold dynamics in mathematical models for mosquito- and rodent-borne diseases with seasonality

Abstract

The Ph.D. thesis investigates the impact of the periodicity of weather on the spread of malaria, Zika fever, and Lassa fever by applying non-autonomous compartmental population models with time-dependent (periodic) parameters. The dynamics of the system is characterized by the basic reproduction number R0 of periodic compartmental models, defined as the spectral radius of an integral operator acting on the space of continuous periodic functions, and it has also been shown that the reproduction number is a threshold parameter with respect to disease extinction or persistence. Our aim is to show that the disease-free periodic solution of our newly established models is globally asymptotically stable if R0<1,, while for R0>1, there exists at least one positive ω-periodic solution. We provide numerical studies and give examples to describe what kind of parameter changes might trigger the periodic recurrence of the disease.

Country
Hungary
Related Organizations
Keywords

01.01.01.20. Tudományos alkalmazott matematika, 01.01.01.11. Differenciálegyenletek és dinamikai rendszerek, 01.01.01.16. Numerikus analízis, 530, 510

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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