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Investigaciones Geograficas
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Las rachas secas en el sector central de la cuenca del Duero

Authors: Miguel Ángel Luengo Ugidos; Antonio Ceballos Barbancho; José Martínez Fernández; Carlos Yuste Yuste;

Las rachas secas en el sector central de la cuenca del Duero

Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es la caracterización climática del sector más árido de la cuenca del Duero, prestando una especial atención a los intervalos sin precipitación (rachas secas), y la estimación de la probabilidad y frecuencia de estos períodos mediante técnicas estadísticas de aplicación sencilla. La precipitación media es inferior a los 400 mm y el número anual de días secos es elevado. Considerando día seco aquél con una precipitación ? 0’1 mm, la media es de 291, y la longitud media de las rachas secas 9’6 días. Elevando el umbral a 10 mm, el número de días secos al año asciende a 356 y la longitud media de las rachas a 40’1 días. Estos datos, junto al análisis de la duración, intensidad y probabilidad de las rachas secas máximas anuales, confirman que la zona estudiada está más próxima a la realidad de los observatorios mediterráneos que a la de los atlánticos, a pesar de su ubicación en la mitad septentrional de la Península Ibérica. Finalmente, tanto las cadenas de Markov de primer orden, como la distribución de frecuencias de Gumbel, se han mostrado como técnicas adecuadas para la estimación de la probabilidad y frecuencia de las rachas secas, respectivamente.

Keywords

Rachas secas, Geography (General), Markov chains, Semiárido, Dry spells, Duero basin, Gumbel distribution, G1-922, Distribución de Gumbel, Cadenas de Markov, Cuenca del Duero, Semiarid

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold