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Global potential distribution of Drosophila suzukii (Diptera, Drosophilidae)

Authors: Luana A. dos Santos; Mayara F. Mendes; Alexandra P. Krüger; Monica L. Blauth; Marco S. Gottschalk; Flávio R. M. Garcia;

Global potential distribution of Drosophila suzukii (Diptera, Drosophilidae)

Abstract

(Uploaded by Plazi for the IPBES Invasive Alien Species Assessment) Drosophila suzukii (Matsumura) is a species native to Western Asia that is able to pierce intact fruit during egg laying, causing it to be considered a fruit crop pest in many countries. Drosophila suzukii have a rapid expansion worldwide; occurrences were recorded in North America and Europe in 2008, and South America in 2013. Due to this rapid expansion, we modeled the potential distribution of this species using the Maximum Entropy Modeling (MaxEnt) algorithm and the Genetic Algorithm for Ruleset Production (GARP) using 407 sites with known occurrences worldwide and 11 predictor variables. After 1000 replicates, the value of the average area under the curve (AUC) of the model predictions with 1000 replicates was 0.97 for MaxEnt and 0.87 for GARP, indicating that both models had optimal performances. The environmental variables that most influenced the prediction of the MaxEnt model were the annual mean temperature, the maximum temperature of the warmest month, the mean temperature of the coldest quarter and the annual precipitation. The models indicated high environmental suitability, mainly in temperate and subtropical areas in the continents of Asia, Europe and North and South America, where the species has already been recorded. The potential for further invasions of the African and Australian continents is predicted due to the environmental suitability of these areas for this species.

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Keywords

Crops, Agricultural, environment assessment, Geography, Science, Climate, Q, R, Environment, Models, Theoretical, invasive species, Chapter 2, Medicine, Animals, IPBES, Drosophila, Introduced Species, Alien Invasive Species Assessment AIS, Algorithms, Research Article, biodiversity

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
177
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
gold