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Electronic Journal of Statistics
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
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Nonparametric estimation of the incubation time distribution

Authors: Groeneboom, Piet;

Nonparametric estimation of the incubation time distribution

Abstract

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in inverse problems often have non-normal limit distributions, like Chernoff's distribution. However, if one considers smooth functionals of the model, with corresponding functionals of the MLE, one gets normal limit distributions and faster rates of convergence. We demonstrate this for a model for the incubation time of a disease. The usual approach in the latter models is to use parametric distributions, like Weibull and gamma distributions, which leads to inconsistent estimators. Smoothed bootstrap methods are discussed for constructing confidence intervals. The classical bootstrap, based on the nonparametric MLE itself, has been proved to be inconsistent in this situation.

42 pages, 12 figures. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2108.12606

Keywords

Censored data models, Chernoff's distribution, nonparametric SMLE, COVID-19, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), Software, source code, etc. for problems pertaining to statistics, incubation time, kernel estimates, smoothed bootstrap, FOS: Mathematics, Nonparametric estimation, nonparametric MLE, 62G05, 62-04

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
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