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Electronic Journal of Statistics
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2023
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2022
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Functional spherical autocorrelation: A robust estimate of the autocorrelation of a functional time series

Functional spherical autocorrelation: a robust estimate of the autocorrelation of a functional time series
Authors: Yeh, Chi-Kuang; Rice, Gregory; Dubin, Joel A.;

Functional spherical autocorrelation: A robust estimate of the autocorrelation of a functional time series

Abstract

We propose a new autocorrelation measure for functional time series that we term spherical autocorrelation. It is based on measuring the average angle between lagged pairs of series after having been projected onto the unit sphere. This new measure enjoys several complimentary advantages compared to existing autocorrelation measures for functional data, since it both 1) describes a notion of sign or direction of serial dependence in the series, and 2) is more robust to outliers. The asymptotic properties of estimators of the spherical autocorrelation are established, and are used to construct confidence intervals and portmanteau white noise tests. These confidence intervals and tests are shown to be effective in simulation experiments, and demonstrated in applications to model selection for daily electricity price curves, and measuring the volatility in densely observed asset price data.

43 pages, 7 figures

Keywords

Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Computer and information sciences, Statistics, serial dependence, forecasting, Applications (stat.AP), robustness, model diagnosis, Statistics - Applications, functional data, Statistics - Methodology

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold