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Electronic Journal of Statistics
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Estimating beta-mixing coefficients via histograms

Authors: McDonald, Daniel J.; Shalizi, Cosma Rohilla; Schervish, Mark;

Estimating beta-mixing coefficients via histograms

Abstract

The literature on statistical learning for time series often assumes asymptotic independence or "mixing" of the data-generating process. These mixing assumptions are never tested, nor are there methods for estimating mixing coefficients from data. Additionally, for many common classes of processes (Markov processes, ARMA processes, etc.) general functional forms for various mixing rates are known, but not specific coefficients. We present the first estimator for beta-mixing coefficients based on a single stationary sample path and show that it is risk consistent. Since mixing rates depend on infinite-dimensional dependence, we use a Markov approximation based on only a finite memory length $d$. We present convergence rates for the Markov approximation and show that as $d\rightarrow\infty$, the Markov approximation converges to the true mixing coefficient. Our estimator is constructed using $d$-dimensional histogram density estimates. Allowing asymptotics in the bandwidth as well as the dimension, we prove $L^1$ concentration for the histogram as an intermediate step. Simulations wherein the mixing rates are calculable and a real-data example demonstrate our methodology.

30 pages, 8 figures. Longer version of arXiv:1103.0941 [stat.ML]

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Keywords

Markov processes: estimation; hidden Markov models, time-series, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, dependence, Statistics Theory (math.ST), Density estimation, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference, density estimation, total-variation, FOS: Mathematics, mixing, absolutely regular processes, histograms

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
gold
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