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Consistency of random forests

Authors: Scornet, Erwan; Biau, Gérard; Vert, Jean-Philippe;

Consistency of random forests

Abstract

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical performance, little is known about the mathematical properties of the procedure. This disparity between theory and practice originates in the difficulty to simultaneously analyze both the randomization process and the highly data-dependent tree structure. In the present paper, we take a step forward in forest exploration by proving a consistency result for Breiman's [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] original algorithm in the context of additive regression models. Our analysis also sheds an interesting light on how random forests can nicely adapt to sparsity. 1. Introduction. Random forests are an ensemble learning method for classification and regression that constructs a number of randomized decision trees during the training phase and predicts by averaging the results. Since its publication in the seminal paper of Breiman (2001), the procedure has become a major data analysis tool, that performs well in practice in comparison with many standard methods. What has greatly contributed to the popularity of forests is the fact that they can be applied to a wide range of prediction problems and have few parameters to tune. Aside from being simple to use, the method is generally recognized for its accuracy and its ability to deal with small sample sizes, high-dimensional feature spaces and complex data structures. The random forest methodology has been successfully involved in many practical problems, including air quality prediction (winning code of the EMC data science global hackathon in 2012, see http://www.kaggle.com/c/dsg-hackathon), chemoinformatics [Svetnik et al. (2003)], ecology [Prasad, Iverson and Liaw (2006), Cutler et al. (2007)], 3D

Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, dimension reduction, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Machine Learning (stat.ML), Statistics Theory (math.ST), randomization, 510, [STAT.ML]Statistics [stat]/Machine Learning [stat.ML], [MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], Statistics - Machine Learning, FOS: Mathematics, 62G05, additive model, [MATH.MATH-ST] Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST], 62G20, consistency, [STAT.TH] Statistics [stat]/Statistics Theory [stat.TH], sparsity, 500, [STAT.TH]Statistics [stat]/Statistics Theory [stat.TH], Random forests, [STAT.ML] Statistics [stat]/Machine Learning [stat.ML], Additive model, Dimension reduction

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    303
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    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
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    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
303
Top 0.1%
Top 1%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid