
arXiv: 1304.6683
We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated by a non-semimartingale, or a Brownian semistationary process in particular. This estimation method is motivated by the assessment of relative energy dissipation in empirical data of turbulence, but it is also applicable in other areas. We develop a probabilistic asymptotic theory for realised relative power variations of Brownian semistationary processes, and introduce inference methods based on the theory. We also discuss how to extend the asymptotic theory to other classes of processes exhibiting stochastic volatility/intermittency. As an empirical application, we study relative energy dissipation in data of atmospheric turbulence.
25 pages, 4 figures, v3: major revision, this version contains an application to electricity prices that was omitted from the published version
energy dissipation, Power variation, Generalizations of martingales, Energy dissipation, turbulence, volatility, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Brownian semistationary process, energy dissipation, intermittency, power variation, turbulence, volatility., Statistics Theory (math.ST), Non-Markovian processes: estimation, Meteorology and atmospheric physics, 62M09, Statistical turbulence modeling, Turbulence, 76F55, Brownian semistationary process, Volatility, power variation, intermittency, FOS: Mathematics, Intermittency, Applications of Brownian motions and diffusion theory (population genetics, absorption problems, etc.), 62M09 (Primary), 76F55 (Secondary)
energy dissipation, Power variation, Generalizations of martingales, Energy dissipation, turbulence, volatility, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Brownian semistationary process, energy dissipation, intermittency, power variation, turbulence, volatility., Statistics Theory (math.ST), Non-Markovian processes: estimation, Meteorology and atmospheric physics, 62M09, Statistical turbulence modeling, Turbulence, 76F55, Brownian semistationary process, Volatility, power variation, intermittency, FOS: Mathematics, Intermittency, Applications of Brownian motions and diffusion theory (population genetics, absorption problems, etc.), 62M09 (Primary), 76F55 (Secondary)
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