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Sparse covariance estimation in heterogeneous samples

Authors: Rodríguez, Abel; Lenkoski, Alex; Dobra, Adrian;

Sparse covariance estimation in heterogeneous samples

Abstract

Standard Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) implicitly assume that the conditional independence among variables is common to all observations in the sample. However, in practice, observations are usually collected form heterogeneous populations where such assumption is not satisfied, leading in turn to nonlinear relationships among variables. To tackle these problems we explore mixtures of GGMs; in particular, we consider both infinite mixture models of GGMs and infinite hidden Markov models with GGM emission distributions. Such models allow us to divide a heterogeneous population into homogenous groups, with each cluster having its own conditional independence structure. The main advantage of considering infinite mixtures is that they allow us easily to estimate the number of number of subpopulations in the sample. As an illustration, we study the trends in exchange rate fluctuations in the pre-Euro era. This example demonstrates that the models are very flexible while providing extremely interesting interesting insights into real-life applications.

Keywords

nonparametric Bayes inference, FOS: Computer and information sciences, mixture model, Covariance selection, Classification and discrimination; cluster analysis (statistical aspects), Bayesian inference, Factor analysis and principal components; correspondence analysis, Statistics - Applications, Statistics - Computation, Dirichlet process, Methodology (stat.ME), Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Gaussian graphical model, 62H25, 62M10, covariance selection, Applications (stat.AP), 62F15, Applications of statistics to economics, hidden Markov model, 62H30, Statistics - Methodology, Computation (stat.CO)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
30
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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gold
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