
doi: 10.1201/b15938-484
handle: 10807/119739 , 11311/827545
The uncertainties in the model of an energy distribution system made of a solar panel, a storage energy system and loads (power demanded by the end-users) are investigated, treating the epistemic variables as possibilistic and the aleatory ones as probabilistic. In particular, time-varying probabilistic distributions of the solar irradiation and the power demanded by the end-users is inferred from historical data. Then a computational framework for the joint propagation of both types of uncertainty is applied through the model of the energy distribution system to compute the Expected Energy Not Supplied.
[SPI.OTHER] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Other, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
[SPI.OTHER] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Other, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
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