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Central Mean Subspace in Time Series

Authors: Jin-Hong Park; T. N. Sriram; Xiangrong Yin;

Central Mean Subspace in Time Series

Abstract

We propose a notion of central mean dimension reduction subspace for time series {xt} which does not require specification of a model but seeks to find a p×d matrix Φd, d≤p, so that the d×1 vector ΦdTXt−1, where Xt−1=(xt−1, …, xt−p)T for some p≥1, includes all the information about xt that is available from E(xt|Xt−1). For known p and d, we estimate the mean central subspace through the Nadaraya–Watson kernel smoother and establish the strong consistency of our estimator. In addition, we propose estimation of d and p using a modified Schwarz Bayesian criterion, if either of d and p is unknown. Finally, we examine the performance of all the estimators extensively through a variety of simulations and provide a new analysis of the well-known Canadian lynx data. Supplemental materials for this article are available online.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
16
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
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