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The Holocene
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Research Collection
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
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Reduced accuracy in dendroglaciological mass balance reconstruction of Storglaciären since the 1980s

Authors: Niklas Werner; Salome Oehler; Frida Rendlert; Björn Gunnarson;

Reduced accuracy in dendroglaciological mass balance reconstruction of Storglaciären since the 1980s

Abstract

Recent studies have raised concerns regarding the reconstruction of glacier mass balance using tree-ring data. The method relies on a stable relationship between both variables and summer (June–August) or melt season (May–September) temperature. However, with recent anthropogenic climate change the stability of this relationship is challenged by both, a divergence between tree-ring and temperature, as well as mass balance and temperature data. Establishing to what extent this divergence influences the reconstruction of mass balance using tree-ring data is important to assess the future viability and applicability of the method. In this paper we analyze the relationship between the Torneträsk tree-ring and Storglaciären mass balance records, their response to climate change, and investigate changes in the relationship. We provide evidence for a sensitivity loss in the Torneträsk record and quantify its impact on the reconstruction of summer mass balance of Storglaciären. We find that by including years post 1980, the amplitude of reconstructed variability is reduced, but it remains possible to explain the variance of the record significantly. Our results suggest that for glaciers without an extensive mass balance record the applicability of the method is challenged.

Country
Switzerland
Keywords

climate change, mass balance reconstruction, divergence problem, Storglaciären, climate change; dendroglaciology; divergence problem; mass balance reconstruction; Storglaciären; tree-ring analysis, dendroglaciology, tree-ring analysis

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid