
AbstractWhen simulating past warm climates, such as the early Cretaceous and Paleogene periods, general circulation models (GCMs) underestimate the magnitude of warming in the Arctic. Additionally, model intercomparisons show a large spread in the magnitude of Arctic warming for these warmer-than-modern climates. Several mechanisms have been proposed to explain these disagreements, including the unrealistic representation of polar clouds or underestimated poleward heat transport in the models. This study provides an intercomparison of Arctic cloud and atmospheric heat transport (AHT) responses to strong imposed polar-amplified surface ocean warming across four atmosphere-only GCMs. All models simulate an increase in high clouds throughout the year; the resulting reduction in longwave radiation loss to space acts to support the imposed Arctic warming. The response of low and mid-level clouds varies considerably across the models, with models responding differently to surface warming and sea ice removal. The AHT is consistently weaker in the imposed warming experiments due to a large reduction in dry static energy transport that offsets a smaller increase in latent heat transport, thereby opposing the imposed surface warming. Our idealised polar amplification experiments require very large increases in implied ocean heat transport (OHT) to maintain steady state. Increased CO2 or tropical temperatures that likely characterised past warm climates, reduces the need for such large OHT increases.
13 Climate Action, 550, Paleoclimate, anzsrc-for: 0405 Oceanography, Atmosphere, anzsrc-for: 3702 Climate change science, 37 Earth Sciences, anzsrc-for: 37 Earth Sciences, anzsrc-for: 3708 Oceanography, 551, Climate sensitivity, anzsrc-for: 0401 Atmospheric Sciences, Arctic, Heat budgets/fluxes, Clouds, 3701 Atmospheric Sciences, 3708 Oceanography, anzsrc-for: 3701 Atmospheric Sciences, anzsrc-for: 0909 Geomatic Engineering
13 Climate Action, 550, Paleoclimate, anzsrc-for: 0405 Oceanography, Atmosphere, anzsrc-for: 3702 Climate change science, 37 Earth Sciences, anzsrc-for: 37 Earth Sciences, anzsrc-for: 3708 Oceanography, 551, Climate sensitivity, anzsrc-for: 0401 Atmospheric Sciences, Arctic, Heat budgets/fluxes, Clouds, 3701 Atmospheric Sciences, 3708 Oceanography, anzsrc-for: 3701 Atmospheric Sciences, anzsrc-for: 0909 Geomatic Engineering
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 2 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
