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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics)
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
License: OUP Standard Publication Reuse
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2018
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Unravelling the Predictive Power of Telematics Data in Car Insurance Pricing

Unravelling the predictive power of telematics data in car insurance pricing
Authors: Verbelen, Roel; Antonio, Katrien; Claeskens, Gerda;

Unravelling the Predictive Power of Telematics Data in Car Insurance Pricing

Abstract

SummaryA data set from a Belgian telematics product aimed at young drivers is used to identify how car insurance premiums can be designed based on the telematics data collected by a black box installed in the vehicle. In traditional pricing models for car insurance, the premium depends on self-reported rating variables (e.g. age and postal code) which capture characteristics of the policy(holder) and the insured vehicle and are often only indirectly related to the accident risk. Using telematics technology enables tailor-made car insurance pricing based on the driving behaviour of the policyholder. We develop a statistical modelling approach using generalized additive models and compositional predictors to quantify and interpret the effect of telematics variables on the expected claim frequency. We find that such variables increase the predictive power and render the use of gender as a rating variable redundant.

Countries
Netherlands, Belgium
Related Organizations
Keywords

YOU-DRIVE INSURANCE, SELECTION, 330, compositional predictors, Statistics & Probability, Pay-as-you-drive insurance, Risk classification, Applications of statistics, Generalized additive models, generalized additive models, REGRESSION, usage-based insurance, Usage-based insurance, RISK, 1ST ACCIDENT, Science & Technology, 000, pay as you drive insurance, 0104 Statistics, SMOOTHING PARAMETER, 4905 Statistics, Physical Sciences, DISTANCE, Structural zeros, Structural 0s, structural 0s, PAY, Pay as you drive insurance, Compositional predictors, risk classification, Mathematics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
102
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid
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