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Approximate Bayesian Computation with the Wasserstein Distance

Authors: Bernton, Espen; Jacob, Pierre E.; Gerber, Mathieu; Robert, Christian P.;

Approximate Bayesian Computation with the Wasserstein Distance

Abstract

SummaryA growing number of generative statistical models do not permit the numerical evaluation of their likelihood functions. Approximate Bayesian computation has become a popular approach to overcome this issue, in which one simulates synthetic data sets given parameters and compares summaries of these data sets with the corresponding observed values. We propose to avoid the use of summaries and the ensuing loss of information by instead using the Wasserstein distance between the empirical distributions of the observed and synthetic data. This generalizes the well-known approach of using order statistics within approximate Bayesian computation to arbitrary dimensions. We describe how recently developed approximations of the Wasserstein distance allow the method to scale to realistic data sizes, and we propose a new distance based on the Hilbert space filling curve. We provide a theoretical study of the method proposed, describing consistency as the threshold goes to 0 while the observations are kept fixed, and concentration properties as the number of observations grows. Various extensions to time series data are discussed. The approach is illustrated on various examples, including univariate and multivariate g-and-k distributions, a toggle switch model from systems biology, a queuing model and a Lévy-driven stochastic volatility model.

Countries
France, United Kingdom
Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Generative models, Likelihood‐free inference, Traitement du signal, 621.3, 510, Methodology (stat.ME), Optimal transport, Approximate Bayesian computation, Likelihood-free inference, Wasserstein distance, QA, Statistics - Methodology

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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
93
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid