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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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Other literature type . 2016
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2013
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A General Framework for Updating Belief Distributions

Authors: Bissiri P. G.; Holmes C. C.; Walker S. G.;
APC: 2,066.57 EUR

A General Framework for Updating Belief Distributions

Abstract

SummaryWe propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the traditional likelihood function, which is recovered as a special case. Modern application areas make it increasingly challenging for Bayesians to attempt to model the true data-generating mechanism. For instance, when the object of interest is low dimensional, such as a mean or median, it is cumbersome to have to achieve this via a complete model for the whole data distribution. More importantly, there are settings where the parameter of interest does not directly index a family of density functions and thus the Bayesian approach to learning about such parameters is currently regarded as problematic. Our framework uses loss functions to connect information in the data to functionals of interest. The updating of beliefs then follows from a decision theoretic approach involving cumulative loss functions. Importantly, the procedure coincides with Bayesian updating when a true likelihood is known yet provides coherent subjective inference in much more general settings. Connections to other inference frameworks are highlighted.

Countries
Italy, United Kingdom
Keywords

Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Computer and information sciences, FOS: Mathematics, Decision theory; General Bayesian updating; Generalized estimating equations; Gibbs posteriors; Information; Loss function; Maximum entropy; Provably approximately correct Bayes methods; Self-information loss function;, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Original Articles, Statistics Theory (math.ST), Decision theory; General Bayesian updating; Generalized estimating equations; Gibbs posteriors; Information; Loss function; Maximum entropy; Provably approximately correct Bayes methods; Self-information loss function, Statistics - Methodology

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
228
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 10%
Green
hybrid