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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2017
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Robust Mean-Squared Error Estimation for Poverty Estimates Based on the Method of Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw

Robust mean-squared error estimation for poverty estimates based on the method of Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw
Authors: Das, Sumonkanti; Chambers, Raymond L;

Robust Mean-Squared Error Estimation for Poverty Estimates Based on the Method of Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw

Abstract

SummaryThe method of Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw (ELL) is the small area estimation method developed by the World Bank for poverty mapping and is widely used in developing countries. However, it has been criticized because of its assumption of negligible between-area variability when used to calculate small area poverty estimates. In particular, the mean-squared errors (MSEs) of these estimates are significantly underestimated when this between-area variability cannot be adequately explained by the model covariates. A method of MSE estimation for ELL-type estimates is proposed which is robust to significant unexplained between-area variability. Simulation results show that the method proposed performs better than standard ELL MSE estimators when the area homogeneity assumption is violated. An application to a Bangladesh poverty mapping study provides some empirical evidence for this robustness.

Country
Australia
Keywords

World Bank method, Engineering, small area estimation, poverty mapping, model misspecification, Applications of statistics, Science and Technology Studies

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
hybrid