
doi: 10.1111/nrm.12237
AbstractThe copula functions are frequently used by researchers for modeling dependence structure among the correlated attributes in many areas. The copulas are widely used for the analysis of drought frequency, drought characteristics, drought coincidence risk, uncertainty, and drought forecasting. In this research, we have compared two indices of drought assessment, including SPI‐12 and copula‐based joint deficit index (JDI). In this regard, the drought characteristics, including the severity, duration, and drought frequency have been studied in 25 synoptic stations of Iran during the 1968–2014. The results showed that, unlike JDI, the SPI‐12 is not able to estimate the drought peak during the critical and extreme condition. Although JDI has identified a severe and extreme drought during the pervasive drought, the SPI‐12 estimated a normal condition. The results show that JDI accurately estimates the drought frequency, but the SPI‐12 provided an unexpected estimation is some stations. In addition, the MannKendal trend test for drought characteristics represents that JDI accurately estimates the expected trend (an increasing trend) whereas the SPI‐12 exhibits no significant trend in most stations. Finally, JDI provides a comprehensive assessment of drought for decision‐makers and natural managers.
empirical copula, Environmental economics (natural resource models, harvesting, pollution, etc.), Meteorology and atmospheric physics, multivariate analysis, drought characteristics, joint deficit index, trend analysis, Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas
empirical copula, Environmental economics (natural resource models, harvesting, pollution, etc.), Meteorology and atmospheric physics, multivariate analysis, drought characteristics, joint deficit index, trend analysis, Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 30 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
