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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Manchester Schoolarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Manchester School
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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Estimating a Bilateral J‐curve between the UK and the Euro Area

Authors: Nektarios A. Michail;

Estimating a Bilateral J‐curve between the UK and the Euro Area

Abstract

Following the United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union, the pound has depreciated against the euro. This study aims to examine whether the UK could potentially benefit from this depreciation, that is, improve its trade balance with its euro area counterparts. Theory suggests that this could happen only if the Marshall–Lerner condition holds, i.e. if the sum of import and export elasticities is greater than unity. Due to the fact that the Marshall–Lerner condition is static, a more dynamic estimate, the J‐curve, which allows for a distinction between the short‐run and the long‐run response of the trade balance, is employed using bilateral trade data between the UK and 10‐euro area countries. Results, employing both bilateral ARDL and Pooled Mean Group methods show that, until a new trade agreement is reached, the UK trade balance vis‐à‐vis the euro area is not expected to change significantly in the short‐run, while it should improve in the long‐run. The wide range of bilateral findings underlies the idiosyncrasies between euro area countries and also suggests that there is a rationale for countries to explore different paths such as bilateral agreements with the UK.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Top 10%
Average
Average
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