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Mathematical Finance
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2024
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2022
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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Naïve Markowitz policies

Authors: Lin Chen; Xun Yu Zhou;

Naïve Markowitz policies

Abstract

Abstract We study a continuous‐time Markowitz mean–variance portfolio selection model in which a naïve agent, unaware of the underlying time‐inconsistency, continuously reoptimizes over time. We define the resulting naïve policies through the limit of discretely naïve policies that are committed only in very small time intervals, and derive them analytically and explicitly. We compare naïve policies with pre‐committed optimal policies and with consistent planners' equilibrium policies in a Black–Scholes market, and find that the former achieve higher expected terminal returns than originally planned yet are mean–variance inefficient when the risk aversion level is sufficiently small, and always take strictly riskier exposure than equilibrium policies. We finally define an efficiency ratio for comparing return–risk tradeoff with the same original level of risk aversion, and show that naïve policies are always strictly less efficient than pre‐committed and equilibrium policies.

Keywords

continuous time, time inconsistency, mean-variance model, Mathematical Finance (q-fin.MF), 91B28, FOS: Economics and business, Portfolio theory, consistent planner, naïve agent, pre-committed agent, Quantitative Finance - Mathematical Finance, equilibrium policies

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green