
It is well known that, under a continuity assumption on the price of a stock S, the realized variance of S for maturity T can be replicated by a portfolio of calls and puts maturing at T. This paper assumes that call prices on S maturing at T are known for all strikes but makes no continuity assumptions on S. We derive semiexplicit expressions for the supremum lower bound on the hedged payoff, at maturity T, of a long position in the realized variance of S. Equivalently, is the supremum strike K such that an investor with a long position in a variance swap with strike K can ensure a nonnegative payoff at T. We study examples with constant implied volatilities and with a volatility skew. In our examples, is close to the fair variance strike obtained under the continuity assumption.
Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.), realized variance, model risk, subreplication, hedging, variance swap
Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.), realized variance, model risk, subreplication, hedging, variance swap
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