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Mathematical Finance
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2016
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2013
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COHERENCE AND ELICITABILITY

Coherence and elicitability
Authors: Johanna F. Ziegel;

COHERENCE AND ELICITABILITY

Abstract

The risk of a financial position is usually summarized by a risk measure. As this risk measure has to be estimated from historical data, it is important to be able to verify and compare competing estimation procedures. In statistical decision theory, risk measures for which such verification and comparison is possible, are called elicitable. It is known that quantile‐based risk measures such as value at risk are elicitable. In this paper, the existing result of the nonelicitability of expected shortfall is extended to all law‐invariant spectral risk measures unless they reduce to minus the expected value. Hence, it is unclear how to perform forecast verification or comparison. However, the class of elicitable law‐invariant coherent risk measures does not reduce to minus the expected value. We show that it consists of certain expectiles.

Keywords

Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), spectral risk measure, Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), coherent risk measure, law-invariant risk measure, FOS: Economics and business, expectiles, Risk Management (q-fin.RM), expected shortfall, FOS: Mathematics, decision theory, Statistical methods; risk measures, elicit ability, Quantitative Finance - Risk Management

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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
275
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 1%
Green
bronze