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Journal of Time Series Analysis
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2018
Data sources: zbMATH Open
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Unit Root Testing with Unstable Volatility

Unit root testing with unstable volatility
Authors: Brendan K. Beare;

Unit Root Testing with Unstable Volatility

Abstract

Unit root test statistics may not have the usual asymptotic properties when the variance of innovations is unstable. In particular, persistent changes in volatility can cause the size to differ from the nominal level. We propose a class of modified unit root test statistics that are robust to the presence of unstable volatility. The modification is achieved by purging heteroskedasticity from the data using a kernel estimate of volatility before the application of standard tests. In the absence of deterministic trend components, this approach delivers test statistics that achieve standard asymptotics under the null hypothesis of a unit root. When the data are homoskedastic, the local power of unit root tests is unchanged by our modification. We use Monte Carlo simulations to compare the finite sample performance of our modified tests with that of existing methods of correcting for unstable volatility.

Keywords

unit root, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), Markov processes: hypothesis testing, unit root, heteroskedasticity, nonstationary volatility., heteroskedasticity, Parametric hypothesis testing, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:C14

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
16
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
bronze
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