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Journal of Time Series Analysis
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
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Journal of Time Series Analysis
Article
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Article . 2015
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Structural Break Inference Using Information Criteria in Models Estimated by Two‐Stage Least Squares

Structural break inference using information criteria in models estimated by two-stage least squares
Authors: Alastair R. Hall; Denise R. Osborn; Nikolaos Sakkas;

Structural Break Inference Using Information Criteria in Models Estimated by Two‐Stage Least Squares

Abstract

This paper makes two contributions in relation to the use of information criteria for inference on structural breaks when the coefficients of a linear model with endogenous regressors may experience multiple changes. First, we show that suitably defined information criteria yield consistent estimators of the number of breaks, when employed in the second stage of a two‐stage least squares (2SLS) procedure with breaks in the reduced form taken into account in the first stage. Second, a Monte Carlo analysis investigates the finite sample performance of a range of criteria based on Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Hannan–Quinn information criterion (HQIC) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) for equations estimated by 2SLS. Versions of the consistent criteria BIC and HQIC perform well overall when the penalty term weights estimation of each break point more heavily than estimation of each coefficient, while AIC is inconsistent and badly over‐estimates the number of true breaks.

Country
United Kingdom
Related Organizations
Keywords

Diagnostics, and linear inference and regression, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), instrumental variables estimation, Linear regression; mixed models, Point estimation, structural breaks, information criteria

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
hybrid
Related to Research communities