
doi: 10.1111/jtsa.12037
handle: 10722/194983
We propose a new volatility model, which is called the mixture memory generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MM‐GARCH) model. The MM‐GARCH model has two mixture components, of which one is a short‐memory GARCH and the other is the long‐memory fractionally integrated GARCH. The new model, a special ARCH( ∞ ) process with random coefficients, possesses both the properties of long‐memory volatility and covariance stationarity. The existence of its stationary solution is discussed. A dynamic mixture of the proposed model is also introduced. Other issues, such as the expectation–maximization algorithm as a parameter estimation procedure, the observed information matrix, which is relevant in calculating the theoretical standard errors, and a model selection criterion, are also investigated. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate our theoretical findings. Empirical application of the MM‐GARCH model to the daily S&P 500 index illustrates its capabilities.
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, 330, AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY, Stochastic models in economics, HETEROSCEDASTICITY, ARCH(INFINITY) MODELS, long memory in volatility, mixture ARCH(∞), Economic time series analysis, covariance stationarity, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), LONG MEMORY, EM ALGORITHM, DEPENDENCE, EM algorithm., MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD, mixture ARCH(\(\infty\)), EM algorithm, VOLATILITY
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, 330, AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY, Stochastic models in economics, HETEROSCEDASTICITY, ARCH(INFINITY) MODELS, long memory in volatility, mixture ARCH(∞), Economic time series analysis, covariance stationarity, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), LONG MEMORY, EM ALGORITHM, DEPENDENCE, EM algorithm., MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD, mixture ARCH(\(\infty\)), EM algorithm, VOLATILITY
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