
It has been shown that under perfect competition and a Cobb-Douglas production function, a basic real business cycle model may exhibit indeterminacy and sunspot fluctuations when income tax rates are determined by a balanced-budget rule (BBR). This paper introduces in an otherwise standard real business cycle model a more general and data-coherent class of production functions, namely, a constant elasticity of substitution production function. We show that the degree of substitutability between production factors is a key ingredient to understanding the (de)stabilizing properties of a BBR. Then we calibrate the model consistently with the empirical evidence; that is, we set the elasticity of substitution between labor and capital below unity. We show that compared to the Cobb-Douglas case, the likelihood of indeterminacy under a BBR is greatly reduced in the U.S., the EU, and the UK
330, European Union;Economic models;Budgets;United Kingdom;Business cycles;Capital;Labor markets;Fiscal policy;Production;United States;Constant Elasticity of Substitution, Indeterminacy, elasticity of substitution, tax rates, taxation,, Business cycles; Constant elasticity of substitution; Fiscal policy; Indeterminacy, Constant Elasticity of Substitution; Balanced-Budget Rules; Indeterminacy; Business Cycles, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:E32
330, European Union;Economic models;Budgets;United Kingdom;Business cycles;Capital;Labor markets;Fiscal policy;Production;United States;Constant Elasticity of Substitution, Indeterminacy, elasticity of substitution, tax rates, taxation,, Business cycles; Constant elasticity of substitution; Fiscal policy; Indeterminacy, Constant Elasticity of Substitution; Balanced-Budget Rules; Indeterminacy; Business Cycles, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:E32
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