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The Economic Journal
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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No News in Business Cycles

Authors: Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca; Sala, Luca;

No News in Business Cycles

Abstract

This paper uses a structural, large dimensional factor model to evaluate the role of 'news' shocks (shocks with a delayed effect on productivity) in generating the business cycle. We find that (i) existing small-scale VECM models are affected by 'non-fundamentalness' and therefore fail to recover the correct shock and impulse response functions; (ii) news shocks have a limited role in explaining the business cycle; (iii) their effects are in line with what predicted by standard neoclassical theory; (iv) the bulk of business cycle fluctuations are explained by shocks unrelated to technology.

Country
Italy
Keywords

Structural factor model, news shocks, invertibility, fundamentalness, structural factor model, news shocks, invertibility, fundamentalness., Cicles econòmics, structural factor model; news shocks; invertibility; fundamentalness, fundamentalness; invertibility; news shocks; structural factor model, FACTOR AUGMENTED VAR, NEWS SHOCKS, INVERTIBILITY, FUNDAMENTALNESS, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:C32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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75
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