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Statistical matching for conservation science

Authors: Schleicher, Judith; Eklund, Johanna; D Barnes, Megan; Geldmann, Jonas; Oldekop, Johan A; Jones, Julia PG;

Statistical matching for conservation science

Abstract

Abstract The awareness of the need for robust impact evaluations in conservation is growing and statistical matching techniques are increasingly being used to assess the impacts of conservation interventions. Used appropriately matching approaches are powerful tools, but they also pose potential pitfalls. We outlined important considerations and best practice when using matching in conservation science. We identified 3 steps in a matching analysis. First, develop a clear theory of change to inform selection of treatment and controls and that accounts for real‐world complexities and potential spillover effects. Second, select the appropriate covariates and matching approach. Third, assess the quality of the matching by carrying out a series of checks. The second and third steps can be repeated and should be finalized before outcomes are explored. Future conservation impact evaluations could be improved by increased planning of evaluations alongside the intervention, better integration of qualitative methods, considering spillover effects at larger spatial scales, and more publication of preanalysis plans. Implementing these improvements will require more serious engagement of conservation scientists, practitioners, and funders to mainstream robust impact evaluations into conservation. We hope this article will improve the quality of evaluations and help direct future research to continue to improve the approaches on offer.

Countries
Australia, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Finland
Keywords

Conservation of Natural Resources, inferencia causal, spillover, Evolution, impact evaluation, 保护有效性, efectividad de la conservación, spatial autocorrelation, 333, 1105 Ecology, 2309 Nature and Landscape Conservation, Behavior and Systematics, counterfactual, causal inference, conservation effectiveness, Essays, evaluación de impacto, 溢出效应, Global Development Institute, ResearchInstitutes_Networks_Beacons/global_development_institute; name=Global Development Institute, autocorrelación espacial, hipótesis de contraste, consecuencias indirectas, 因果推论, 效果评估, 空间自相关, 2303 Ecology, Geosciences, 反事实

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    selected citations
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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    163
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
163
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid