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Prediction of Power Equipment Failures Based on Chronological Failure Records

Authors: Petar M. Djuric; Miroslav Begovic; Joshua Perkel;

Prediction of Power Equipment Failures Based on Chronological Failure Records

Abstract

When power utility asset managers are facing the task of resource planning for future deployment, often times, only partial information is available: installation dates and amounts, as well as failure and replacement rates. By combining records on yearly populations of the components, estimation of failure model parameters may be possible. Parametric models may then be used for forecasting of the system's short term future failure rates and for formulation of replacement strategies. We employ the Weibull distribution and show how we estimate its parameters from past failure data. With the obtained estimates, we forecast future failures and keep on improving the estimates as new data become available.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
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