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ANFIS and NNARX based rainfall-runoff modeling

Authors: Renji Remesan; Muhammad Ali Shamim; Dawei Han; Jimson Mathew;

ANFIS and NNARX based rainfall-runoff modeling

Abstract

Modeling of non-linearity and uncertainty associated with rainfall-runoff process has received a lot of attention in the past years. Recently artificial intelligence techniques are used for hydrological time series modelling. Earlier studies showed this approach is effective, still there are concerns about how these techniques perform efficiently to predict the run-off with high standard of accuracy. To this end, this paper explores the ability of two artificial intelligence techniques, namely neural network auto regressive with exogenous input (NNARX) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, to model the rainfall-runoff phenomenon effectively from antecedent rainfall and runoff information. Specifically, to illustrate applicability of these techniques, two year (1994-1995) rainfall-runoff data from Brue catchment of The United Kingdom were used. The models having various input structures were constructed and the best structure was investigated with help of the proposed technique, called gamma test. Training data length selection and best input combination were carried out prior to modeling with help of gamma test. The performance of the ANFIS model in training and testing sets were compared with that of NNARX model with help of several statistical parameters. The results of the study have shown that both ANFIS and NNARX could work efficiently in rainfall-runoff modeling and can provide high accuracy and reliability in runoff prediction.

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United Kingdom
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
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