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Short-term load forecasting with fuzzy regression tree in power systems

Authors: Hiroyuki Mori; Noriyuki Kosemura; Kenta Ishiguro; Toru Kondo;

Short-term load forecasting with fuzzy regression tree in power systems

Abstract

This paper proposes a hybrid method for short-term load forecasting in power systems. Short-term load forecasting is one of the most important problems in power system operation and planning. Therefore, more accurate models are required to handle it appropriately. The proposed method is based on the fuzzy regression tree of a data mining method and the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) of artificial neural networks. The fuzzy regression tree works to discover important rules from actual data and classify input data into some classes. On the other hand, MLP is used to predict one-step ahead loads. This paper aims to clarify the nonlinear relationship between input and output variables. In this paper, to enhance the accuracy of the regression tree, simplified fuzzy inference is introduced to determine the split values. The proposed method is successfully applied to real data.

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    popularity
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    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
19
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
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