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Conference object . 2016
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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
https://doi.org/10.1109/icmla....
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
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Hourly Solar Irradiance Forecasting Based on Machine Learning Models

Authors: Melzi, Fateh Nassim; Touati, Taieb; Same, Allou; Oukhellou, Latifa;

Hourly Solar Irradiance Forecasting Based on Machine Learning Models

Abstract

In recent years, many research studies are conducted into the use of smart meters data for developing decision-making tools including both analytical, forecasting and display purposes. Forecasting energy generation or forecasting energy consumption demand are indeed central problems for urban stakeholders (electricity companies and urban planners). These issues are helpful to allow them ensuring an efficient planning and optimization of energy resources. This paper investigates the problem for forecasting the hourly solar irradiance within a Machine Learning (ML) framework using Similarity method (SIM), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Neural Network (NN). These approaches rely on a methodology which takes into account the previous hours of the predicting day and also the days having the same number of sunshine hours in the history. The study is conducted on a real data set collected on the Paris suburb of Alfortville. A comparison with two time series approaches namely Naive method and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA) is performed. This study is the first step towards the development of the hourly solar irradiance forecasting hybrid models.

Country
France
Keywords

PREVISION, IRRADIANCE FORECASTING, ENERGIE, MACHINE LEARNING, STATISTICAL APPROACH, [STAT.ML] Statistics [stat]/Machine Learning [stat.ML]

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    28
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
28
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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