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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao https://doi.org/10.1...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
https://doi.org/10.1109/icit.2...
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: STM Policy #29
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Forecasting HPC Workload Using ARMA Models and SSA

Authors: Anoop S. Kumar; Somnath Mazumdar;

Forecasting HPC Workload Using ARMA Models and SSA

Abstract

In high-performance computing (HPC) platform, resource usage pattern changes over time which makes the resource monitoring a challenge. Maintaining the performance goals within a good power range is very critical where servers suffer from under utilisation, failure or degraded hardware support. Better forecast of the workload can reduce the energy cost by predicting the future workload more accurately. Identifying the usage pattern is also vital for efficient capacity planning because prediction can also be augmented with an effective resource allocation strategy to manage resource distribution goals. However, a single prediction model does not fit for all. In this paper, we compare forecast performance of the state-of-the-art ARMA class (integrated ARMA (ARIMA), seasonal integrated ARMA (SARIMA) and fractionally integrated ARMA (ARFIMA)) with the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) method using CPU, RAM and Network traces collected from Wikimedia grid. We found that the most simple model of ARMA class (ARIMA) had outperformed other complex ARMA class models while forecasting the bursty pattern of Networks. ARIMA model provides the best forecast for the Network data while SSA is found to be the best method for CPU and RAM. We also show that with proper model fitting, we can achieve high forecasting precision as low as 0.00586% for RAM and maximum error around 5% for Network without having complete information about the underlying system hardware and the running applications type.

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    influence
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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