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Log-optimal currency portfolios and control Lyapunov exponents

Authors: László Gerencsér; Miklós Rásonyi; Csaba Szepesvári; Zsuzsanna Vágó;

Log-optimal currency portfolios and control Lyapunov exponents

Abstract

P. Algoet and T. Cover characterized log-optimal portfolios in a stationary market without friction. There is no analogous result for markets with friction, of which a currency market is a typical example. In this paper we restrict ourselves to simple static strategies. The problem is then reduced to the analysis of products of random matrices, the top-Lyapunov exponent giving the growth rate. New insights to products of random matrices will be given and an algorithm for optimizing top-Lyapunov exponents will be presented together with some key steps of its analysis. Simulation results will also be given. Let X = (X n ) be a stationary process of k x k real-valued ess of k × k real-valued matrices, depending on some vector-valued parameter θ∈Rp, satisfying Elog+||X 0 (θ)|| n 1/nElog||X n ·X n-1 ...·X 0 ||. We develop an iterative procedure for the optimization of λ(θ). In the case when X is a Markov-process, the proposed procedure is formally within the class defined in [3]. However the analysis of the general case requires different techniques: an ODE method defined in terms of asymptotically stationary random fields. The verification of some standard technical conditions, such as a uniform law of large numbers for the error process is hard. For this we need some auxiliary results which are interes ting in their own right.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
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